| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 138.04 | 43.5% | 60.00 | 45.2% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 150.12 | 40.0% | 60.00 | 41.8% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 165.52 | 36.3% | 60.00 | 38.2% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 185.75 | 32.3% | 60.00 | 34.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →