| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 114.40 | 52.4% | 60.00 | 53.9% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 56.22 | 50.3% | 28.29 | 51.0% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.45 | 48.8% | 31.94 | 49.6% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.17 | 47.3% | 27.49 | 48.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →