| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.43 | 64.0% | 53.39 | 35.0% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.52 | 62.4% | 31.54 | 37.0% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.34 | 61.2% | 32.65 | 38.2% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.69 | 59.8% | 36.32 | 39.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.70 | 57.9% | 60.00 | 40.9% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.59 | 55.3% | 60.00 | 43.4% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.32 | 52.5% | 60.00 | 46.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →