| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.37 | 82.9% | 60.00 | 16.6% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.78 | 81.9% | 56.32 | 17.6% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.02 | 80.9% | 46.95 | 18.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.17 | 80.4% | 12.19 | 19.5% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.50 | 79.9% | 37.13 | 19.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →