| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.40 | 62.2% | 60.00 | 36.6% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.67 | 60.1% | 52.65 | 38.9% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.44 | 58.0% | 49.52 | 41.0% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.02 | 56.0% | 42.56 | 43.1% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.75 | 54.0% | 46.82 | 45.0% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.88 | 52.2% | 29.68 | 47.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →