| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.03 | 44.9% | 13.48 | 54.7% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.80 | 54.6% | 38.13 | 55.5% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 114.65 | 52.3% | 60.00 | 53.8% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.27 | 49.6% | 51.23 | 50.9% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 128.43 | 46.7% | 60.00 | 48.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →