| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.24 | 57.3% | 9.87 | 42.5% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 74.31 | 42.0% | 31.24 | 42.9% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 152.65 | 39.3% | 60.00 | 41.1% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 168.79 | 35.5% | 60.00 | 37.5% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 142.16 | 32.1% | 45.59 | 33.6% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 21.38 | 30.3% | 6.48 | 30.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →