| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.38 | 82.7% | 54.92 | 16.8% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.43 | 81.7% | 60.00 | 17.7% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.65 | 81.0% | 19.96 | 18.8% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.97 | 80.2% | 57.73 | 19.2% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.63 | 79.3% | 33.01 | 20.4% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.25 | 78.4% | 49.60 | 21.0% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.85 | 77.4% | 46.30 | 22.1% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.82 | 76.1% | 60.00 | 23.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →