| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 120.39 | 49.8% | 60.00 | 51.3% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.64 | 48.0% | 14.69 | 48.3% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 84.20 | 46.5% | 39.17 | 47.6% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 137.04 | 43.8% | 60.00 | 45.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →