| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.01 | 73.4% | 19.83 | 26.3% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.03 | 72.9% | 19.70 | 26.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 8.88 | 72.5% | 6.44 | 27.4% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.46 | 72.1% | 25.56 | 27.6% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.23 | 71.2% | 36.48 | 28.3% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.61 | 70.3% | 28.53 | 29.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →