| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 79.53 | 37.1% | 29.54 | 38.1% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.35 | 63.0% | 43.67 | 36.2% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.14 | 61.4% | 40.60 | 37.8% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.04 | 59.4% | 60.00 | 39.4% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.80 | 57.7% | 22.38 | 41.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →