| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 127.19 | 47.2% | 60.00 | 51.2% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.45 | 45.2% | 15.56 | 54.4% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.34 | 54.1% | 50.50 | 55.3% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.81 | 46.7% | 12.06 | 52.9% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.99 | 46.2% | 9.23 | 53.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →