| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.11 | 85.9% | 29.31 | 13.9% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.23 | 85.3% | 56.50 | 14.3% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.15 | 84.6% | 44.09 | 15.1% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.90 | 83.9% | 35.17 | 15.8% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.16 | 83.1% | 60.00 | 16.4% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.53 | 82.2% | 52.20 | 17.4% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.62 | 81.4% | 33.06 | 18.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →