| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.93 | 60.0% | 16.75 | 60.3% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.86 | 59.1% | 24.75 | 59.6% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.63 | 57.3% | 60.00 | 58.6% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.37 | 54.8% | 55.56 | 56.1% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.61 | 53.0% | 22.07 | 53.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →