| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.49 | 58.8% | 23.80 | 40.7% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.71 | 57.3% | 47.37 | 41.7% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.91 | 55.8% | 21.15 | 43.7% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.12 | 54.3% | 43.53 | 44.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →