| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.67 | 77.5% | 12.92 | 22.4% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.35 | 77.1% | 22.63 | 22.6% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.96 | 76.6% | 16.83 | 23.2% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.18 | 75.9% | 41.91 | 23.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.46 | 75.1% | 30.37 | 24.6% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.19 | 73.9% | 60.00 | 25.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →