| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 133.04 | 29.2% | 38.84 | 30.6% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 234.75 | 25.6% | 60.00 | 27.8% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.97 | 76.1% | 44.12 | 23.4% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 249.99 | 22.2% | 55.54 | 24.4% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 341.94 | 17.5% | 60.00 | 20.1% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 18.84 | 84.7% | 15.96 | 15.2% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.01 | 84.4% | 20.27 | 15.4% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.83 | 84.0% | 36.81 | 15.7% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.67 | 16.0% | 6.84 | 16.3% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.45 | 84.0% | 34.81 | 15.7% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.00 | 83.5% | 29.21 | 16.3% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.08 | 83.0% | 24.14 | 16.8% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.31 | 82.6% | 25.03 | 17.2% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.52 | 82.0% | 41.43 | 17.6% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.98 | 81.3% | 39.80 | 18.4% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.30 | 80.7% | 18.00 | 19.1% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.47 | 80.2% | 36.45 | 19.5% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.77 | 79.2% | 60.00 | 20.2% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.84 | 78.3% | 25.71 | 21.4% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.54 | 77.6% | 38.43 | 22.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →