| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.39 | 80.7% | 60.00 | 18.8% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.51 | 79.5% | 60.00 | 19.9% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.74 | 78.2% | 60.00 | 21.2% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.27 | 77.1% | 36.45 | 22.5% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.79 | 76.2% | 39.48 | 23.3% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.99 | 75.0% | 60.00 | 24.2% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.06 | 73.6% | 48.63 | 25.7% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.17 | 72.1% | 60.00 | 27.0% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.20 | 70.4% | 60.00 | 28.7% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.47 | 68.6% | 60.00 | 30.5% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.57 | 67.0% | 41.23 | 32.4% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.96 | 65.2% | 60.00 | 33.7% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.09 | 63.1% | 60.00 | 35.8% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.66 | 60.8% | 60.00 | 38.0% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.76 | 58.4% | 60.00 | 40.4% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.50 | 55.8% | 60.00 | 42.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →