| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 79.35 | 75.6% | 60.00 | 76.3% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 15.42 | 74.7% | 11.52 | 74.9% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 31.81 | 74.3% | 23.63 | 74.6% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 35.49 | 73.6% | 26.13 | 74.0% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 15.67 | 73.1% | 11.46 | 73.3% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 23.62 | 72.7% | 17.18 | 73.0% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 15.29 | 72.4% | 11.06 | 72.5% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 61.43 | 71.6% | 43.97 | 72.2% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.46 | 70.4% | 40.43 | 71.0% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 14.41 | 69.6% | 10.03 | 69.8% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.40 | 68.8% | 44.96 | 69.5% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 45.31 | 67.6% | 30.61 | 68.0% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 50.68 | 66.5% | 33.70 | 67.1% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.82 | 65.2% | 42.90 | 65.9% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 68.02 | 63.6% | 43.29 | 64.4% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.23 | 61.7% | 60.00 | 62.9% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.11 | 59.3% | 60.00 | 60.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →