| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 12.92 | 66.0% | 8.53 | 33.8% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.86 | 65.6% | 15.66 | 34.1% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.81 | 65.2% | 11.60 | 34.6% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 80.87 | 34.1% | 27.61 | 35.1% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.38 | 66.6% | 10.24 | 33.2% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.06 | 66.1% | 18.55 | 33.6% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.36 | 65.6% | 10.08 | 34.2% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.28 | 64.7% | 43.52 | 34.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.62 | 63.7% | 13.13 | 36.1% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.74 | 62.9% | 26.90 | 36.6% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.16 | 37.0% | 17.09 | 37.6% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 84.79 | 35.5% | 30.11 | 36.5% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 179.35 | 32.6% | 58.39 | 34.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →