| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 18.80 | 65.1% | 12.25 | 65.4% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 43.75 | 64.4% | 28.19 | 64.9% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 35.56 | 63.5% | 22.59 | 63.9% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 49.80 | 62.5% | 31.14 | 63.1% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.73 | 60.8% | 60.00 | 61.9% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.93 | 59.1% | 25.36 | 59.6% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.76 | 57.3% | 60.00 | 58.6% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.83 | 54.6% | 60.00 | 56.0% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.99 | 52.2% | 44.88 | 53.3% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 120.95 | 49.6% | 60.00 | 51.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →