| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.85 | 47.3% | 20.73 | 52.2% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.81 | 46.1% | 24.33 | 53.3% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 137.24 | 43.7% | 60.00 | 54.6% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.88 | 56.7% | 60.00 | 58.0% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 79.80 | 54.4% | 43.39 | 55.4% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.51 | 51.9% | 60.00 | 53.4% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.52 | 49.0% | 60.00 | 50.5% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.01 | 46.3% | 41.24 | 47.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →