| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.53 | 67.8% | 20.02 | 31.9% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 61.47 | 31.9% | 19.59 | 32.5% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.80 | 30.6% | 17.08 | 31.2% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.29 | 69.8% | 12.07 | 30.0% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 163.62 | 28.7% | 46.94 | 30.4% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.83 | 72.6% | 26.74 | 27.0% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.23 | 27.3% | 11.55 | 27.8% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.27 | 72.9% | 11.86 | 26.9% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 11.50 | 72.6% | 8.35 | 27.3% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.75 | 72.0% | 40.83 | 27.5% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.50 | 71.2% | 15.30 | 28.6% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 52.40 | 28.5% | 14.95 | 29.1% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.13 | 71.6% | 25.17 | 28.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →