| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.71 | 66.0% | 27.54 | 66.5% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 19.18 | 65.3% | 12.53 | 65.6% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 37.91 | 64.7% | 24.52 | 65.1% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 15.01 | 64.1% | 9.62 | 64.3% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 50.31 | 63.3% | 31.86 | 63.9% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.41 | 61.6% | 60.00 | 62.7% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.68 | 59.4% | 53.23 | 60.4% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.17 | 57.3% | 47.06 | 58.3% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.26 | 54.9% | 60.00 | 56.3% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.56 | 53.2% | 16.25 | 53.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →