| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.92 | 69.8% | 60.00 | 29.3% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.85 | 68.6% | 21.16 | 31.1% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.25 | 31.3% | 12.91 | 31.7% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.41 | 68.8% | 20.93 | 30.9% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.85 | 68.0% | 29.15 | 31.5% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.60 | 66.8% | 47.81 | 32.4% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.67 | 65.6% | 20.78 | 34.0% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.45 | 64.3% | 51.76 | 34.7% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.02 | 63.0% | 22.69 | 36.6% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.68 | 61.4% | 60.00 | 37.4% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.62 | 59.4% | 43.13 | 39.7% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.84 | 57.2% | 60.00 | 41.5% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.92 | 54.6% | 60.00 | 44.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →