| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 160.76 | 20.8% | 33.36 | 22.1% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 11.92 | 80.5% | 9.59 | 19.5% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.18 | 80.1% | 30.57 | 19.6% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.24 | 79.3% | 41.44 | 20.2% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 60.67 | 20.6% | 12.50 | 21.1% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.62 | 19.7% | 10.94 | 20.1% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 127.49 | 18.3% | 23.29 | 19.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →