| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.94 | 67.7% | 39.25 | 31.6% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.43 | 31.9% | 28.23 | 32.9% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 20.03 | 30.8% | 6.16 | 31.0% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.55 | 69.2% | 15.61 | 30.5% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.62 | 30.5% | 14.23 | 31.0% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.10 | 69.6% | 23.04 | 30.0% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 120.28 | 29.5% | 35.45 | 30.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →