| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 84.89 | 70.7% | 60.00 | 71.6% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.13 | 68.9% | 60.00 | 69.8% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.95 | 67.2% | 46.98 | 67.9% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.81 | 65.4% | 60.00 | 66.4% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.93 | 63.2% | 60.00 | 64.3% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.47 | 60.9% | 60.00 | 62.1% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.54 | 58.5% | 60.00 | 59.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →