| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.01 | 65.5% | 42.58 | 66.2% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.23 | 63.7% | 60.00 | 64.8% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 76.46 | 61.7% | 47.16 | 62.6% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.73 | 59.6% | 60.00 | 60.8% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 67.71 | 57.5% | 38.95 | 58.3% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 20.32 | 56.4% | 11.47 | 56.7% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.76 | 55.3% | 38.60 | 56.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →