| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.96 | 73.7% | 44.21 | 25.7% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 226.01 | 24.7% | 55.85 | 26.9% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 13.28 | 77.2% | 10.26 | 22.7% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.27 | 76.9% | 14.83 | 22.9% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.13 | 22.4% | 20.87 | 23.2% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 10.37 | 78.3% | 8.12 | 21.6% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.55 | 77.9% | 29.25 | 21.8% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.77 | 77.0% | 49.11 | 22.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →