| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.13 | 65.1% | 60.00 | 66.2% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.28 | 63.0% | 60.00 | 64.1% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.88 | 60.7% | 60.00 | 61.9% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.01 | 58.2% | 60.00 | 59.5% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.67 | 56.0% | 46.82 | 57.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →