| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.50 | 68.6% | 60.00 | 30.5% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.75 | 67.4% | 13.31 | 32.4% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.36 | 66.7% | 27.60 | 32.8% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 189.54 | 31.7% | 60.00 | 33.7% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 11.16 | 70.3% | 7.84 | 29.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →