| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.89 | 42.6% | 28.04 | 56.6% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.19 | 40.9% | 28.71 | 58.2% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 26.97 | 59.6% | 16.08 | 59.9% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.03 | 58.1% | 56.96 | 59.3% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 60.14 | 56.2% | 33.78 | 56.9% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 44.35 | 54.9% | 24.34 | 55.4% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.12 | 53.2% | 47.43 | 54.3% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 61.86 | 51.3% | 31.76 | 52.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →