| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.72 | 66.1% | 60.00 | 32.9% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.13 | 34.5% | 10.41 | 34.9% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.51 | 65.6% | 10.83 | 34.2% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.23 | 64.8% | 36.43 | 34.6% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.22 | 63.8% | 19.91 | 35.9% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.29 | 62.6% | 45.85 | 36.6% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.97 | 60.8% | 44.39 | 38.3% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.53 | 59.1% | 41.69 | 40.0% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.31 | 57.0% | 60.00 | 41.7% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.45 | 54.6% | 46.14 | 44.3% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 115.05 | 52.2% | 60.00 | 46.4% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 121.97 | 49.2% | 60.00 | 49.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →