| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.04 | 83.4% | 44.24 | 16.2% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.95 | 82.8% | 30.59 | 17.0% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.19 | 82.0% | 60.00 | 17.5% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.20 | 80.9% | 60.00 | 18.6% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.30 | 79.7% | 60.00 | 19.7% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.48 | 78.6% | 46.73 | 20.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →