| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.24 | 60.5% | 60.00 | 61.6% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 154.28 | 38.9% | 60.00 | 59.3% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 54.45 | 62.3% | 33.92 | 62.9% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.22 | 60.5% | 60.00 | 61.7% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.40 | 58.0% | 60.00 | 59.3% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.25 | 55.4% | 60.00 | 56.8% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.88 | 45.4% | 19.01 | 54.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →