| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 198.23 | 30.3% | 60.00 | 32.4% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.47 | 71.4% | 26.76 | 28.2% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.54 | 70.1% | 60.00 | 29.0% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.86 | 68.3% | 60.00 | 30.8% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.46 | 66.3% | 60.00 | 32.7% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.39 | 64.2% | 60.00 | 34.7% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.72 | 62.0% | 60.00 | 36.8% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.52 | 59.7% | 60.00 | 39.1% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.65 | 57.3% | 56.50 | 41.5% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.68 | 54.7% | 60.00 | 43.9% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 115.60 | 51.9% | 60.00 | 46.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →