| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.18 | 86.1% | 20.83 | 13.7% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.26 | 85.6% | 55.86 | 14.0% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.62 | 85.1% | 17.54 | 14.8% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.18 | 84.6% | 46.67 | 15.1% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.01 | 83.9% | 42.78 | 15.8% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.28 | 83.0% | 60.00 | 16.5% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.21 | 82.2% | 35.51 | 17.5% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.79 | 81.3% | 60.00 | 18.1% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.85 | 80.2% | 60.00 | 19.3% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.15 | 79.1% | 39.69 | 20.4% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.85 | 78.1% | 60.00 | 21.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →