| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.21 | 63.0% | 20.28 | 36.7% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.35 | 61.9% | 36.12 | 37.4% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.47 | 37.5% | 42.50 | 38.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 45.35 | 35.6% | 16.15 | 36.1% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 163.36 | 33.3% | 54.34 | 35.1% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 116.47 | 30.2% | 35.21 | 31.5% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 126.26 | 27.7% | 35.02 | 29.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →