| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.41 | 80.6% | 60.00 | 18.8% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.53 | 79.4% | 60.00 | 20.0% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.79 | 78.3% | 43.71 | 21.2% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.88 | 77.7% | 19.32 | 22.1% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.18 | 76.7% | 60.00 | 22.6% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.89 | 75.6% | 39.21 | 24.0% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.31 | 74.5% | 49.37 | 24.9% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.17 | 73.0% | 60.00 | 26.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →