| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.46 | 84.8% | 31.77 | 14.9% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.21 | 84.3% | 36.42 | 15.4% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.58 | 83.7% | 34.81 | 16.0% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.77 | 83.3% | 22.29 | 16.6% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.69 | 82.5% | 60.00 | 16.9% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.98 | 81.8% | 26.15 | 18.0% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.10 | 81.0% | 60.00 | 18.5% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.21 | 80.1% | 34.59 | 19.6% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.86 | 79.1% | 60.00 | 20.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →