| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.10 | 83.7% | 27.71 | 16.1% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.91 | 83.2% | 39.01 | 16.5% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.90 | 82.3% | 60.00 | 17.2% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.06 | 81.3% | 49.65 | 18.2% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.76 | 80.3% | 60.00 | 19.2% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.92 | 79.0% | 60.00 | 20.3% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.18 | 77.7% | 60.00 | 21.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →