| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 48.93 | 62.2% | 30.43 | 62.8% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 78.95 | 60.7% | 47.90 | 61.6% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.58 | 58.5% | 60.00 | 59.7% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.29 | 55.9% | 60.00 | 57.2% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.79 | 53.2% | 60.00 | 54.6% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 119.29 | 50.3% | 60.00 | 51.8% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 127.06 | 47.2% | 60.00 | 48.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →