| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.17 | 84.3% | 60.00 | 15.2% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.45 | 83.6% | 33.80 | 16.2% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.35 | 83.0% | 35.14 | 16.7% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.04 | 82.1% | 60.00 | 17.3% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.70 | 81.4% | 24.17 | 18.4% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 18.63 | 81.0% | 15.09 | 18.8% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.05 | 80.7% | 18.60 | 19.1% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.80 | 80.3% | 20.72 | 19.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →