| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 36.65 | 27.4% | 10.05 | 27.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 6.89 | 72.9% | 5.02 | 27.1% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.18 | 26.3% | 23.73 | 27.2% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 10.97 | 74.4% | 8.17 | 25.4% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.21 | 74.0% | 28.27 | 25.7% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.42 | 72.8% | 60.00 | 26.4% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 199.28 | 26.1% | 51.96 | 28.0% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.36 | 23.7% | 13.11 | 24.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →