| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.76 | 61.9% | 50.61 | 37.1% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 26.97 | 38.7% | 10.45 | 39.1% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.76 | 60.9% | 34.57 | 38.4% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 70.87 | 38.9% | 27.59 | 39.8% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.15 | 61.4% | 27.10 | 38.1% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 16.95 | 38.9% | 6.60 | 39.1% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.60 | 60.4% | 41.47 | 38.7% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.77 | 58.4% | 60.00 | 40.4% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.51 | 55.8% | 60.00 | 42.9% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 113.05 | 53.1% | 60.00 | 45.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →