| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.90 | 86.3% | 27.54 | 13.5% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.99 | 85.7% | 60.00 | 13.8% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.77 | 85.1% | 28.73 | 14.7% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.25 | 84.6% | 37.43 | 15.1% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.53 | 83.9% | 53.28 | 15.7% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.83 | 83.2% | 31.46 | 16.6% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.30 | 82.4% | 59.56 | 17.1% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.24 | 81.5% | 43.37 | 18.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →