| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.44 | 72.8% | 17.07 | 27.0% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.04 | 71.9% | 50.34 | 27.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 61.29 | 28.2% | 17.29 | 28.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.37 | 72.0% | 31.93 | 27.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.18 | 70.9% | 43.37 | 28.5% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.20 | 69.7% | 35.00 | 29.8% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 53.43 | 30.2% | 16.16 | 30.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →