| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.12 | 72.2% | 60.00 | 27.0% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.83 | 70.5% | 59.08 | 28.7% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.95 | 69.3% | 20.06 | 30.4% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.19 | 68.0% | 60.00 | 31.0% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.68 | 66.1% | 59.90 | 32.9% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.77 | 64.1% | 54.94 | 35.0% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.70 | 62.8% | 16.13 | 36.9% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.28 | 61.7% | 42.10 | 37.5% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.61 | 59.6% | 60.00 | 39.2% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.00 | 57.1% | 60.00 | 41.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →