| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 36.89 | 54.5% | 20.11 | 55.0% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 22.63 | 53.8% | 12.17 | 54.1% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.88 | 46.0% | 17.44 | 53.5% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 54.15 | 53.8% | 29.11 | 54.4% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.78 | 46.2% | 25.78 | 53.1% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.05 | 45.0% | 19.37 | 54.5% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.97 | 43.9% | 18.44 | 55.5% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.34 | 56.1% | 22.62 | 56.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →